Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000614 0.000658 0.000704 0.000756 0.000811 0.000868 0.000933
2025-12-07 0.000542 0.000604 0.000671 0.000748 0.000834 0.000929 0.001039
2025-12-14 0.000487 0.000559 0.000640 0.000736 0.000847 0.000973 0.001125
2025-12-21 0.000445 0.000524 0.000615 0.000726 0.000859 0.001013 0.001205
2025-12-28 0.000401 0.000484 0.000580 0.000700 0.000848 0.001023 0.001249
2026-01-04 0.000370 0.000455 0.000556 0.000686 0.000848 0.001045 0.001304
2026-01-11 0.000350 0.000438 0.000545 0.000685 0.000863 0.001084 0.001382
2026-01-18 0.000334 0.000425 0.000537 0.000686 0.000881 0.001127 0.001464
2026-01-25 0.000318 0.000410 0.000527 0.000684 0.000893 0.001163 0.001538
2026-02-01 0.000299 0.000392 0.000511 0.000674 0.000893 0.001180 0.001588
2026-02-08 0.000284 0.000377 0.000497 0.000665 0.000894 0.001199 0.001640
2026-02-15 0.000270 0.000363 0.000485 0.000658 0.000898 0.001221 0.001696
2026-02-22 0.000257 0.000351 0.000475 0.000654 0.000906 0.001253 0.001771
2026-03-01 0.000246 0.000340 0.000467 0.000652 0.000918 0.001290 0.001855
2026-03-08 0.000233 0.000326 0.000454 0.000643 0.000919 0.001311 0.001916
2026-03-15 0.000221 0.000314 0.000443 0.000636 0.000921 0.001333 0.001980
2026-03-22 0.000206 0.000296 0.000422 0.000614 0.000901 0.001321 0.001992
2026-03-29 0.000195 0.000283 0.000409 0.000601 0.000895 0.001329 0.002033
2026-04-05 0.000188 0.000276 0.000403 0.000600 0.000905 0.001362 0.002115
2026-04-12 0.000182 0.000270 0.000399 0.000602 0.000918 0.001401 0.002207
2026-04-19 0.000176 0.000264 0.000393 0.000600 0.000927 0.001433 0.002289
2026-04-26 0.000168 0.000254 0.000383 0.000591 0.000923 0.001444 0.002337
2026-05-03 0.000161 0.000246 0.000374 0.000583 0.000922 0.001458 0.002391